Friday, July 17, 2026
Understand the news faster
Understand the news faster
Visual brief Briefs 1 source

Trading volume on prediction markets has soared in recent months

Kalshi and Polymarket turn event contracts into a $24B April market for sports fans, traders, and regulators

Checked against the primary source
Full visual brief
Drawn.News visual brief: Trading volume on prediction markets has soared in recent months
In this brief

Sources & verification

Reporting behind this brief, checked before publication.

Brief text

Prediction market trading volume has risen from under $5 billion monthly in mid 2025 to nearly $24 billion in April 2026, with sports dominating.

  1. Frame 1Kalshi and Polymarket turn event contracts into a $24B April market for sports fans, traders, and regulators.
  2. Frame 2That April volume topped the average $14B wagered monthly through legal U.S. sportsbooks in 2025.
  3. Frame 3The mechanism is simple: buy a yes/no contract from $0 to $1, then get $1 if the event resolves your way.
  4. Frame 4The turn came fast: combined monthly volume was below $5B in September 2025 and about $24B by April 2026.
  5. Frame 5Sports drive the machine: 80% of Kalshi volume and 39% of Polymarket volume since July 2024.
  6. Frame 6Next market test: whether sports, politics, and crypto keep concentrating trading after April's $24B month.
How this was checked
Reporting
Checked against the primary source
Claims
We checked the names, dates, numbers, and core facts against the reporting linked above
Artwork
This is an editorial illustration based on the reporting, not source photography
Published
May 27, 9:40 PM EDT
Our standards
Editorial standards and corrections